World population and human capital in the twenty-first century : an overview / Ed. by Wolfgang Lutz, William P. Butz and Samir KC.
By: Lutz, Wolfgang, Ed.
Contributor(s): Lutz, Wolfgang, Ed | Butz, William P., Ed | KC, Samir, Ed.Publisher: London: Oxford University Press, 2017Description: xv, 1056 p.ISBN: 9780198813422.Other title: World population & human capital in the twenty-first century [Spine title].Subject(s): Population forecasting | Educational attainment | Educational attainment -- Statistics | Human capital | Human capital -- Statistics | Education | Weltbevölkerung | Wachstum | Prognose | Kulturelles Kapital | Befolkningsprognoser | UtbildningsnivåDDC classification: 304.601 12 Online resources: Click here to access online | Click here to access online | Click here to access online
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Includes bibliographical references and index.
Introduction / Wolfgang Lutz and William P. Butz -- How education drives demography and knowledge informs projections / Wolfgang Lutz and Vegard Skirbekk -- Future fertility in low fertility countries / Stuart Basten, Tomáš Sobotka, and Kryštof Zeman -- Future fertility in high fertility countries / Regina Fuchs and Anne Goujon -- Future mortality in low mortality countries / Graziella Caselli, Sven Drefahl, Christian Wegner-Siegmundt, and Marc Luy -- Future mortality in high mortality countries / Alessandra Garbero and Elsie Pamuk -- The future of international migration / Nikola Sander, Guy J. Abel, and Fernando Riosmena -- Future education trends / Bilal F. Barakat and Rachel E. Durham -- Data and methods / Samir KC, Michaela Potančoková, Ramon Bauer, Anne Goujon, and Erich Striessnig -- The rise of global human capital and the end of world population growth / Wolfgang Lutz and Samir KC -- Re-measuring twenty-first century population ageing / Sergei Scherbov, Warren C. Sanderson, Samir KC, and Wolfgang Lutz -- Alternative scenarios in the context of sustainable development / Samir KC and Wolfgang Lutz -- Epilogue : with education the future looks different / Wolfgang Lutz -- Appendices.
"This book addresses systematically and quantitatively the role of educational attainment in global population trends and models. Six background chapters summarize past trends in fertility, mortality, migration, and education; examine relevant theories and identify key determining factors; and set the assumptions that are subsequently translated into alternative scenario projections to 2100. These assumptions derive from a global survey of hundreds of experts and five expert meetings on as many continents. Another chapter details their translation into multi-dimensional projections by age, sex, and level of education. The book's final chapters analyse the results, emphasizing alternative trends in human capital, new ways of studying ageing and the quantification of alternative population, and education pathways in the context of global sustainable development. An appendix and associated web link present detailed results for all countries. The book shows that adding education to age and sex substantially alters the way we see the future"--Jacket.